On Saturday night, Israel experienced a massive attack from Iran involving hundreds of drones and missiles. The attack occurred during a period of heightened nervousness in the market, as indicated by the market’s signs of instability on Friday. Despite this, direct economic damage from the attack appears to be relatively small.
Israeli officials have confirmed that some damage was caused to the Israeli armed forces, but there is limited information on material and personal damage at present. The White House announced that it assisted Israel in repelling most of the drones and missiles in the attack.
The Iranian attack has already had an impact on international trade and the economy, particularly on the price of oil. Experts like Lippo Suominen from S-bank believe that the attack may cause uncertainty and supply concerns, which could lead to a rise in oil prices. The attack has also affected other asset classes like gold and the dollar, which are considered safe havens during times of geopolitical instability.
The stock market has already reacted to the attack, with the S&P500 index falling on Friday and the Vix index rising significantly. However, Suominen suggests that certain industries like energy and defense could benefit from the rise in oil prices.
The Bitcoin cryptocurrency also experienced price fluctuations following the attack, reflecting investors’ concerns about potential escalation of war. There are concerns about Iran’s threat to further military measures if Israel retaliates. However, some experts believe that investors were prepared for the attack and that the market has already factored in many of its effects.
The level of escalation and Israel’s response will play a crucial role in determining the market’s future. Avoiding further escalation could provide relief to the market, while any significant military actions could lead to increased uncertainty and volatility.
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